Selection Guide β What the factors mean
Pedigree (β 30% of score)
- Sire AEI / CI β Average Earnings Index measures a sire's progeny earnings against the average (1.0). Elite sires consistently exceed 2.0. CI compares against the mares he's covered.
- Dam quality β A productive dam (multiple winners, black-type) is statistically the strongest single predictor in many studies. Look at the second dam too.
- Black-type within 3 generations β Italicized/bolded names in the catalogue. The closer up, the better.
- Nicking β Statistical compatibility of sire line Γ broodmare sire line. A+ nicks have produced disproportionate stakes winners.
- Dosage Index β Speed-vs-stamina balance derived from chef-de-race ancestors. ~2β4 favors speed, <1 favors stamina/turf.
- Inbreeding β Light inbreeding to superior ancestors (3Γ4, 4Γ4) can concentrate quality; heavy inbreeding (>6%) raises risk.
Conformation (β 20%)
- Balance β Shoulder length β hip length; horse should look "in three equal parts."
- Shoulder β A long, sloping shoulder (~45Β°) gives stride length and absorbs concussion.
- Hindquarter β The engine. Look for muscle, length from hip to hock, and a well-let-down hock.
- Cannon bone β Short, dense, and substantial. β₯8" circumference for a yearling colt is a common benchmark.
- Pasterns β 45β50Β°. Too upright = concussion injuries; too sloped = soft-tissue strain.
- Knees β Should be flat from the side, not "back at the knee" (predisposes to chips) or "over at the knee."
- Walk β A free, overstepping walk strongly correlates with athletic gallop.
Veterinary (β 15%)
- Repository X-rays at major sales β review with a vet. OCD lesions in stifles/hocks are red flags.
- Throat scope β Laryngeal Grade IβII is standard; Grade III/IV signals roaring risk.
- Heart, wind, eyes β basic soundness checks.
Performance (raced horses)
- Earnings, speed figures (Beyer/Timeform), highest class won, and soundness history.
- For unraced yearlings/weanlings this section is skipped automatically.
Auction / Value
- The "Value Score" on the list view = Overall Score Γ· price (in $10k units). It surfaces under-the-radar horses whose quality outpaces their reserve.
Breeding
- Mare: produce record > her own race record. An older mare with multiple winners is more valuable than a young one with no foals.
- Stallion: % stakes winners from runners is the cleanest quality metric; book size and stud fee indicate market belief.
- Cross / nick: switch the mode toggle to a breeding mode and the cross/nick fields will be weighted heavily.
Five Pillars Workflow (Recommended)
- Score each pillar 1β10 using the rubric in the Five Pillars card.
- Use Estimated mode when reviewing historical horses or candidates with incomplete private vet/conformation data.
- Use Strict verified mode when you only want scores built from direct entered evidence (no inferred estimates).
- Interpret outputs: BUY = strong candidate, SHORTLIST = re-inspect, PASS = risk/value mismatch.
- Watch Confidence %: low confidence means you need more direct inputs before final bid decisions.
This tool is a decision aid, not a substitute for a qualified bloodstock agent and veterinarian. Always vet in person before bidding.